No won. Smart money backed Yes (7 ranked wallets, average entry 1¢) and lost. Volume $3.3k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 54% · No 47% | $35k |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on November 6? | Yes 100% · No 0% | $19k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Moscow on November 6? | 2°C 82% · 3°C 15% · 4°C 2% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 6? | 20°C 99% · 21°C 0% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 6? | 72-73°F 41% · 74-75°F 28% · 70-71°F 21% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Chengdu on November 6? | 20°C 100% · 21°C 1% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Qingdao on November 6? | 13°C 99% · 14°C 1% · 15°C 0% | $11k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| haveagoodday | No | $2.01 |
| Eucadet | No | $1.31 |
| god83743894 | No | $0.73 |
| 0x4f1a… | No | $0.68 |
| StayFreshCheeseBags | No | $0.64 |
| luciebot | No | $0.59 |
| weather-vane | No | $0.53 |
| eduardremus | Yes | −$5 |
| 0xb3eb… | Yes | −$1.94 |
| chasinbands | Yes | −$1.70 |
| dp. | Yes | −$1.67 |
| boo8.ra1 | Yes | −$1.35 |
16 wallets held a position at the close. The 7 biggest winners took $6; the 9 biggest losers gave up $16. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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