No won. Smart money backed Yes (5 ranked wallets, average entry 14¢) and lost. Volume $7.6k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 63% · No 38% | $58k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 7? | 20°C 58% · 19°C 34% · 21°C 7% | $15k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? | Yes 89% · No 12% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 7? | 28°C 56% · 27°C 31% · 29°C 15% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in NYC on November 7? | 62-63°F 48% · 60-61°F 41% · 64-65°F 9% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 7? | 20°C 54% · 19°C 44% · 18°C 5% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Houston on November 7? | 76-77°F 35% · 80-81°F 10% · 74-75°F 7% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 7? | 10°C 36% · 12°C 16% · 9°C 8% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| ghorrock | No | $2.36 |
| cryptotradernpc | No | $1.04 |
| kaxel78 | No | $0.82 |
| Smallbet8 | Yes | $0.80 |
| bambelbooze | No | $0.68 |
| win20260726 | No | $0.60 |
| Aergia | No | $0.60 |
| OmegaV2 | No | $0.50 |
| Overlandoasis | Yes | −$10 |
| Hassoh | Yes | −$6 |
| eduardremus | Yes | −$5 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | −$3.28 |
17 wallets held a position at the close. The 8 biggest winners took $7; the 9 biggest losers gave up $29. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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