No won. Smart money backed Yes (6 ranked wallets, average entry 48¢) and lost. Volume $14k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
185 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.5k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $2.4k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| New pandemic in 2026? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $18k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 1? | 13°C 50% · 14°C 48% · 15°C or higher 3% | $18k |
| Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on November 1? | 11°C 96% · 12°C 4% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 1? | 11°C 86% · 12°C 12% · 13°C 1% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 1? | 8°C 97% · 9°C 2% · 10°C 1% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Atlanta on November 1? | 60-61°F 65% · 62-63°F 31% · 64-65°F 5% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in NYC on November 1? | 60-61°F 60% · 62-63°F 31% · 58-59°F 6% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Houston on November 1? | 82-83°F 34% · 86-87°F 11% | $11k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| predictotemp | No | $291.03 |
| Thermomenal | No | $158.39 |
| qqqppp-l1 | No | $144.91 |
| sbel | No | $113.49 |
| 241532532432 | No | $90.61 |
| Tallguy2527 | No | $63.83 |
| miphilmm24 | No | $48.72 |
| e4s6r7.pm | No | $39.65 |
| SanchezRickC137 | No | $36.45 |
| tuntuntuntuntuntunsahur | Yes | $35.21 |
| TakeYourTemperature | No | $35.16 |
| CordialAmbition | Yes | $28.69 |