No won. Smart money backed Yes (10 ranked wallets, average entry 23¢) and lost. Volume $8.8k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on November 6? | 13°C 97% · 14°C 2% · 15°C 0% | $50k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 6? | 30°C 52% · 29°C 45% · 31°C 6% | $21k |
| Highest temperature in Manila on November 6? | 34°C 55% · 33°C 45% | $21k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $19k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 6? | 20°C 62% · 21°C 21% · 19°C 18% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Moscow on November 6? | 2°C 53% · 3°C 44% · 4°C 3% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 6? | 12°C 46% · 13°C 31% · 11°C 13% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Busan on November 6? | 17°C 48% · 16°C 48% · 18°C 5% | $11k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Bilberry | No | $61.24 |
| 241532532432 | No | $33.66 |
| TheWildProject | No | $33.01 |
| zdfhftr | No | $25.07 |
| 0x4f1a… | No | $23.58 |
| 0xyahn | No | $22.30 |
| Weatherboy2 | No | $20.26 |
| god83743894 | No | $19.46 |
| twobonclay | No | $19.12 |
| ghorrock | No | $14.09 |
| TakeYourTemperature | No | $13.94 |
| gghff | No | $12.65 |
130 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $534; the 60 biggest losers gave up $775. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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