No won. Smart money backed Yes (10 ranked wallets, average entry 33¢) and lost. Volume $6.1k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $58k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $16k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? | Yes 89% · No 11% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 7? | 20°C 49% · 19°C 28% · 21°C 16% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 7? | 28°C 51% · 27°C 34% · 29°C 15% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Houston on November 7? | 78-79°F 44% · 76-77°F 37% · 80-81°F 13% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in NYC on November 7? | 60-61°F 46% · 62-63°F 38% · 64-65°F 9% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 7? | 20°C 56% · 19°C 41% · 18°C 5% | $10k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xeb1b… | No | $137.09 |
| god83743894 | No | $53.01 |
| sbel | No | $45.89 |
| WrongBy1Degree | No | $39.54 |
| Baccck | No | $39.04 |
| AuspiciousWolf | No | $25.35 |
| OnlyLuckNoBrain | No | $22.08 |
| Thermomenal | No | $20.85 |
| edgewarehouse | No | $19.85 |
| 0x4f1a… | No | $19.71 |
| 0x567 | No | $13.36 |
| 1132 | No | $13.06 |
85 wallets held a position at the close. The 44 biggest winners took $567; the 41 biggest losers gave up $940. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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