Yes won. Smart money backed No (5 ranked wallets, average entry 16¢) and lost. Volume $5.0k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Istanbul on November 5? | 12°C 98% · 13°C 2% · 14°C 1% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 5? | 10°C 51% · 11°C 47% · 12°C 3% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Warsaw on November 5? | 10°C 57% · 11°C 22% · 9°C 20% | $14k |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on November 6? | Yes 51% · No 49% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 5? | 18°C 99% · 19°C 5% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on November 6? | 14°C 39% · 13°C 37% · 15°C 12% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Chongqing on November 5? | 17°C 100% · 18°C 1% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Madrid on November 5? | 16°C 61% · 15°C 23% · 17°C 18% | $11k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xeb1b… | Yes | $470.36 |
| Thermomenal | Yes | $95.89 |
| AuspiciousWolf | Yes | $59.66 |
| 241532532432 | Yes | $31.44 |
| PintouOClima | Yes | $27.69 |
| TakeYourTemperature | Yes | $24.38 |
| K80PRO | Yes | $19.61 |
| 0xyahn | Yes | $15.09 |
| 0x4e72… | Yes | $14.90 |
| MoneyForSky06 | Yes | $13.52 |
| 0xe28d… | Yes | $12.00 |
| Alcaraz2026 | Yes | $10.42 |
64 wallets held a position at the close. The 35 biggest winners took $857; the 29 biggest losers gave up $579. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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