No won. Smart money backed Yes (7 ranked wallets, average entry 13¢) and lost. Volume $4.5k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 4? | 18°C 97% · 19°C 3% · 17°C 1% | $42k |
| Highest temperature in Lucknow on November 4? | 30°C 56% · 31°C 44% · 32°C 2% | $13k |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on November 4? | Yes 31% · No 69% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on November 4? | 28°C 59% · 27°C 34% · 26°C 3% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 4? | 28°C 48% · 27°C 34% · 29°C 14% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on November 4? | 18°C 50% · 17°C 42% · 16°C 5% | $10k |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? | Yes 0% · No 100% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 4? | 10°C 59% · 11°C 19% · 9°C 17% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| bigbigba | No | $22.60 |
| o7mium | No | $20.57 |
| CedarDuck | No | $10.39 |
| hello.67 | No | $9.66 |
| awawfawfa4af4 | No | $4.62 |
| moly42 | No | $4.39 |
| dami-1 | No | $4.24 |
| 0x37tfgrdw24j | No | $3.29 |
| LuckyHT2 | No | $2.83 |
| dub2-CF | No | $2.82 |
| fregdf12f | No | $2.10 |
| Bid.Me.Baby | No | $2.06 |
49 wallets held a position at the close. The 27 biggest winners took $105; the 22 biggest losers gave up $165. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.