No won. Smart money backed Yes (10 ranked wallets, average entry 31¢) and lost. Volume $16k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on November 6? | 13°C 99% · 14°C 1% · 15°C 0% | $52k |
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 54% · No 47% | $35k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 6? | 30°C 64% · 29°C 36% · 31°C 1% | $22k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $21k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 6? | 20°C 74% · 19°C 14% · 21°C 10% | $19k |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on November 6? | Yes 93% · No 7% | $18k |
| Highest temperature in Moscow on November 6? | 2°C 59% · 3°C 40% · 4°C 3% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 6? | 12°C 43% · 13°C 34% · 11°C 14% | $11k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xeb1b… | No | $194.78 |
| hello.67 | No | $154.73 |
| HellYeahTrader | No | $146.71 |
| Bilberry | No | $112.52 |
| cl176 | No | $103.12 |
| fregdf12f | No | $85.13 |
| blowdryer | No | $67.01 |
| Thermomenal | No | $62.65 |
| TakeYourTemperature | No | $56.99 |
| Kirt4sh | No | $35.92 |
| yrnmv | No | $33.00 |
| 0x3dd1… | No | $29.15 |
146 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.5k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $1.7k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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