No won. Smart money backed Yes (14 ranked wallets, average entry 42¢) and lost. Volume $14k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Chengdu on November 4? | 21°C 99% · 22°C 5% | $22k |
| Highest temperature in Lucknow on November 4? | 30°C 89% · 31°C 12% · 32°C 0% | $17k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 4? | 74-75°F 60% · 72-73°F 32% · 76-77°F 7% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Wuhan on November 4? | 15°C 92% · 16°C 7% · 17°C 0% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Madrid on November 4? | 15°C 60% · 16°C 22% · 14°C 20% | $13k |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on November 4? | Yes 100% · No 0% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 4? | 10°C 60% · 11°C 27% · 9°C 12% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 4? | 11°C 71% · 10°C 21% · 12°C 9% | $12k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xeb1b… | No | $479.35 |
| cleaningLady | No | $308.60 |
| hello.67 | No | $226.21 |
| Thermomenal | No | $159.55 |
| AuspiciousWolf | No | $128.76 |
| 0xedbe… | No | $113.08 |
| rubby-always-wins | No | $62.48 |
| 0xe28d… | No | $60.72 |
| pangloz99 | No | $47.03 |
| OnlyLuckNoBrain | No | $43.51 |
| TakeYourTemperature | No | $40.37 |
| 241532532432 | No | $40.07 |
224 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.4k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $1.9k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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