No won. Smart money backed Yes (7 ranked wallets, average entry 19¢) and lost. Volume $4.3k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes 73% · No 28% | $67k |
| New pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on November 3? | 28°C 46% · 27°C 42% · 29°C 9% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 3? | 28°C 44% · 29°C 43% · 27°C 9% | $11k |
| Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on November 3? | 26°C 73% · 25°C 27% · 24°C 2% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 3? | 74-75°F 41% · 72-73°F 32% · 76-77°F 19% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Busan on November 3? | 19°C 48% · 18°C 42% · 21°C 0% | $9k |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | Yes 92% · No 9% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| hello.67 | No | $41.61 |
| 0x2bfd… | No | $15.88 |
| yrnmv | No | $14.58 |
| 0x4f1a… | No | $13.50 |
| supermeow | No | $11.78 |
| twobonclay | No | $11.09 |
| ImBadAtMath | No | $8 |
| Bilberry | No | $7.75 |
| fregdf12f | No | $6.81 |
| 0x3340… | No | $6.25 |
| rocky42023 | Yes | $6.13 |
| bryant666888 | No | $5.40 |
75 wallets held a position at the close. The 43 biggest winners took $215; the 32 biggest losers gave up $245. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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