Yes won. Smart money backed No (9 ranked wallets, average entry 40¢) and lost. Volume $5.6k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 54% · No 47% | $58k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 6? | 12°C 45% · 11°C 21% · 13°C 16% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 6? | 72-73°F 41% · 70-71°F 28% · 74-75°F 13% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 6? | 11°C 62% · 12°C 21% · 10°C 14% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Moscow on November 6? | 2°C 79% · 3°C 16% · 4°C 1% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 6? | 3°C 23% · 6°C 14% · 7°C 3% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 6? | 10°C 47% · 9°C 47% · 8°C 10% | $10k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| VitoCorleone777 | Yes | $157.35 |
| rubby-always-wins | Yes | $136.52 |
| Bilberry | Yes | $122.49 |
| jaja300 | Yes | $101.87 |
| Certified-Loser | Yes | $45.32 |
| gatekeeperofgozer | Yes | $40.28 |
| sleeper-service | Yes | $39.06 |
| BobbythePug | Yes | $36.65 |
| 241532532432 | Yes | $32.70 |
| Di17 | Yes | $32.06 |
| 0xyahn | Yes | $22.85 |
| Thermomenal | Yes | $22.69 |
99 wallets held a position at the close. The 45 biggest winners took $974; the 54 biggest losers gave up $672. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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