No won. Smart money backed Yes (10 ranked wallets, average entry 0¢) and lost. Volume $6.6k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 54% · No 47% | $58k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 6? | 12°C 52% · 11°C 21% · 13°C 16% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 6? | 72-73°F 41% · 70-71°F 28% · 74-75°F 13% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 6? | 11°C 62% · 12°C 21% · 10°C 14% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Moscow on November 6? | 2°C 79% · 3°C 16% · 4°C 2% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 6? | 3°C 23% · 6°C 14% · 7°C 3% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 6? | 10°C 47% · 9°C 47% · 8°C 10% | $10k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 241532532432 | No | $17 |
| dub2-CF | No | $9.43 |
| dami-1 | No | $9.43 |
| GUZMANYGOMEZ | No | $3.75 |
| Weatherfan | No | $3.23 |
| sergo600 | Yes | $3.13 |
| ghorrock | No | $3.07 |
| TakeYourTemperature | No | $2.38 |
| haveagoodday | No | $1.68 |
| bigProfiter | Yes | $1.63 |
| 0x4f1a… | No | $1.50 |
| 0x41eb… | No | $1.46 |
44 wallets held a position at the close. The 23 biggest winners took $68; the 21 biggest losers gave up $64. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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