No won. Smart money backed Yes (8 ranked wallets, average entry 1¢) and lost. Volume $5.9k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $58k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 7? | 20°C 56% · 19°C 20% · 21°C 18% | $14k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? | Yes 87% · No 13% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 7? | 28°C 57% · 27°C 20% · 29°C 19% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Atlanta on November 7? | 66-67°F 54% · 68-69°F 27% · 64-65°F 12% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Chicago on November 7? | 50-51°F 63% · 52-53°F 32% · 48-49°F 6% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Madrid on November 7? | 19°C 55% · 18°C 31% · 20°C 11% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Houston on November 7? | 76-77°F 25% · 80-81°F 18% · 74-75°F 4% | $10k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| dp. | Yes | $4.93 |
| Weatherstappen | No | $2.99 |
| ghorrock | No | $2.29 |
| cleaningLady | No | $1.48 |
| financial-market-news | No | $1.04 |
| Edmit | No | $0.92 |
| SoW-yiyi | No | $0.65 |
| UN-Sure | No | $0.62 |
| 0x3653… | No | $0.59 |
| wsuauidna | Yes | −$7 |
| 0xb834… | Yes | −$4.09 |
| 241532532432 | Yes | −$3.54 |
25 wallets held a position at the close. The 9 biggest winners took $16; the 16 biggest losers gave up $31. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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