No won. Smart money backed Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 10¢) and lost. Volume $7.4k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 2? | 30°C 47% · 31°C 44% · 29°C 10% | $13k |
| New pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Helsinki on November 2? | 9°C 56% · 8°C 41% · 10°C 4% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 2? | 82-83°F 38% · 84-85°F 25% · 78-79°F 2% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 2? | 7°C 51% · 8°C 42% · 6°C 8% | $10k |
| Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on November 2? | 25°C 98% · 26°C 0% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Beijing on November 2? | 18°C 44% · 19°C 26% · 17°C 24% | $9k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0bot | No | $52.61 |
| 0x0f84… | No | $20.08 |
| moon-k58-lad | No | $17.59 |
| Leclerc04 | No | $4.06 |
| kuasuo | No | $3.51 |
| blowdryer | No | $3.22 |
| ggggggsy | No | $3.17 |
| 241532532432 | No | $2.79 |
| yellowhp | No | $2.67 |
| PythiaWPD | No | $2.56 |
| danny42069 | No | $2.04 |
| pintest3 | Yes | $1.93 |
35 wallets held a position at the close. The 20 biggest winners took $123; the 15 biggest losers gave up $59. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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