Yes won. Smart money backed No (2 ranked wallets, average entry 17¢) and lost. Volume $18k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes 64% · No 36% | $66k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 2? | 12°C 71% · 13°C 21% · 11°C 16% | $29k |
| Highest temperature in Miami on November 2? | 80-81°F 59% · 82-83°F 40% · 84-85°F 6% | $22k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 2? | 7°C 86% · 8°C 19% · 9°C 1% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 2? | 84-85°F 43% · 82-83°F 34% · 80-81°F 14% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 3? | 28°C 45% · 29°C 41% · 27°C 12% | $11k |
| New pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Austin on November 2? | 84-85°F 57% · 86-87°F 29% · 82-83°F 16% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| atc2 | Yes | $617.06 |
| Mymycrousty67 | Yes | $614.89 |
| mashuuu | Yes | $464.28 |
| nightowlnine | Yes | $185.69 |
| bless666 | Yes | $184.61 |
| win7982 | Yes | $103.56 |
| 0x2eba… | Yes | $87.33 |
| heylowhuy | Yes | $83.61 |
| kinglake | Yes | $73.93 |
| Descubra | Yes | $60.13 |
| 0bot | Yes | $54.98 |
| weatherbets | Yes | $49.31 |
106 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $3.1k; the 45 biggest losers gave up $932. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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