No won. Smart money backed Yes (6 ranked wallets, average entry 49¢) and lost. Volume $3.9k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 4? | 28°C 50% · 27°C 39% · 29°C 9% | $19k |
| Highest temperature in Lucknow on November 4? | 30°C 64% · 31°C 28% · 29°C 4% | $17k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 4? | 18°C 98% · 19°C 3% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 4? | 10°C 67% · 9°C 16% · 11°C 9% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on November 4? | 17°C 54% · 18°C 31% · 16°C 10% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Madrid on November 4? | 15°C 60% · 16°C 21% · 14°C 20% | $11k |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on November 4? | Yes 32% · No 68% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Singapore on November 4? | 32°C 48% · 33°C 12% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 241532532432 | No | $84.20 |
| Thermomenal | No | $66.04 |
| hello.67 | No | $56.12 |
| Bilberry | No | $35.65 |
| startrusttt | No | $25.56 |
| fregdf12f | No | $18.40 |
| yrnmv | No | $15.54 |
| Bilberry | Yes | $14.48 |
| yellowhp | No | $12.25 |
| TakeYourTemperature | No | $11.71 |
| qqqppp-l1 | No | $9.77 |
| 0x9b12… | No | $8.16 |
79 wallets held a position at the close. The 27 biggest winners took $398; the 52 biggest losers gave up $523. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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