No 54% · Yes 47%. Smart money leans Yes (11 ranked wallets, average entry 36¢). Volume $4.4k, liquidity $466. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 61% · No 39% | $58k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 7? | 20°C 46% · 19°C 26% · 21°C 18% | $15k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? | Yes 89% · No 12% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 7? | 28°C 53% · 27°C 31% · 29°C 16% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Houston on November 7? | 78-79°F 45% · 76-77°F 38% · 80-81°F 9% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in NYC on November 7? | 62-63°F 47% · 60-61°F 37% · 64-65°F 7% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 7? | 20°C 53% · 19°C 41% · 18°C 5% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Chicago on November 7? | 50-51°F 53% · 48-49°F 41% · 52-53°F 6% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| WrongBy1Degree | Yes | 605 |
| gghff | Yes | 390 |
| OnlyLuckNoBrain | Yes | 378 |
| pashnin | Yes | 324 |
| 0xd92e…6a51 | Yes | 201 |
| BeresBalu | Yes | 150 |
| hn54pVpVmJsjn2CA | Yes | 112 |
| 0x03a43e | Yes | 102 |
| fadedtempo | Yes | 100 |
| Roflan-ludoman | Yes | 89 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 806 |
| 0x65f722 | No | 561 |
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