No won. Smart money backed Yes (9 ranked wallets, average entry 13¢) and lost. Volume $2.6k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 63% · No 37% | $24k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 7? | 28°C 63% · 27°C 28% · 29°C 10% | $15k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 7? | 20°C 77% · 19°C 17% · 21°C 3% | $15k |
| Highest temperature in Atlanta on November 7? | 66-67°F 57% · 68-69°F 27% · 64-65°F 11% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Chicago on November 7? | 50-51°F 69% · 52-53°F 22% · 48-49°F 5% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Madrid on November 7? | 19°C 56% · 18°C 32% · 20°C 10% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Houston on November 7? | 76-77°F 25% · 80-81°F 19% · 74-75°F 3% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 7? | 8°C 31% · 7°C 30% · 5°C 3% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| frogcast | No | $15.37 |
| zeroforecast | No | $9.51 |
| ghorrock | No | $7.11 |
| samanto | No | $5.86 |
| RICHYCROTTY | No | $5.39 |
| molypark | No | $5.28 |
| DollarStoreQuant | No | $5.09 |
| 0x973 | No | $4.60 |
| HHR-TEST1 | No | $4.17 |
| dobrelya | No | $3.52 |
| Sialon2 | No | $3.52 |
| 0xbc3c… | No | $3.41 |
67 wallets held a position at the close. The 38 biggest winners took $104; the 29 biggest losers gave up $169. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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