No won. Smart money backed Yes (6 ranked wallets, average entry 2¢) and lost. Volume $6.1k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 4? | 18°C 97% · 19°C 3% · 17°C 1% | $42k |
| Highest temperature in Lucknow on November 4? | 30°C 56% · 31°C 44% · 32°C 2% | $13k |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on November 4? | Yes 31% · No 69% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on November 4? | 28°C 59% · 27°C 34% · 26°C 3% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 4? | 28°C 48% · 27°C 34% · 29°C 14% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on November 4? | 18°C 50% · 17°C 42% · 16°C 5% | $10k |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? | Yes 0% · No 100% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 4? | 10°C 59% · 11°C 19% · 9°C 17% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Mgfkogsodfjgnosdfikjgnosduifng | No | $697.16 |
| samanto | No | $26.53 |
| 241532532432 | No | $23.93 |
| phferrao | Yes | $7.88 |
| alannapow | No | $6.06 |
| 0xf762… | No | $5.79 |
| TakeYourTemperature | No | $5.23 |
| 09F911029D74 | No | $2.37 |
| oleksiyz | No | $2 |
| mr.zucker | No | $1.69 |
| BudgetDegen420 | No | $1.64 |
| .Sniper. | No | $1.21 |
32 wallets held a position at the close. The 20 biggest winners took $789; the 12 biggest losers gave up $51. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.