Yes won. Smart money backed No (6 ranked wallets, average entry 77¢) and lost. Volume $5.3k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes 68% · No 32% | $66k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 2? | 12°C 70% · 13°C 19% · 11°C 10% | $29k |
| Highest temperature in Miami on November 2? | 80-81°F 57% · 82-83°F 39% · 84-85°F 8% | $22k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 2? | 7°C 70% · 8°C 31% · 9°C 1% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 2? | 84-85°F 43% · 82-83°F 32% · 80-81°F 10% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 3? | 28°C 49% · 29°C 39% · 27°C 10% | $11k |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on November 2? | Yes 100% · No 0% | $10k |
| New pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Qatalyst | Yes | $128.70 |
| mustermannmax | Yes | $111.48 |
| Descubra | Yes | $79.57 |
| 0x3135… | Yes | $73.68 |
| WrongBy1Degree | Yes | $73.26 |
| 241532532432 | Yes | $69.69 |
| 0xb3eb… | Yes | $57.32 |
| arsenal85 | Yes | $31.92 |
| ravendaren | Yes | $27.63 |
| Alcaraz2026 | Yes | $22.40 |
| 0xyahn | Yes | $22.32 |
| dcpowersupply | Yes | $20.42 |
65 wallets held a position at the close. The 37 biggest winners took $858; the 28 biggest losers gave up $745. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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