Yes won. Smart money backed No (10 ranked wallets, average entry 31¢) and lost. Volume $4.9k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Istanbul on November 5? | 12°C 98% · 13°C 2% · 14°C 1% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 5? | 10°C 51% · 11°C 47% · 12°C 3% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Warsaw on November 5? | 10°C 57% · 11°C 22% · 9°C 20% | $14k |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on November 6? | Yes 51% · No 49% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 5? | 18°C 99% · 19°C 5% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on November 6? | 14°C 39% · 13°C 37% · 15°C 12% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Chongqing on November 5? | 17°C 100% · 18°C 1% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Madrid on November 5? | 16°C 61% · 15°C 23% · 17°C 18% | $11k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 241532532432 | Yes | $143.13 |
| pashnin | Yes | $115.02 |
| BeresBalu | Yes | $69.24 |
| TakeYourTemperature | Yes | $58.10 |
| Istaroth | Yes | $56.30 |
| kerbrerv | Yes | $49.07 |
| sleeper-service | Yes | $28.17 |
| 0xbc3c… | Yes | $22.65 |
| Pellepele | Yes | $21.77 |
| dontknowhappen | Yes | $21.44 |
| dobrelya | Yes | $20.82 |
| king123583 | Yes | $15.56 |
92 wallets held a position at the close. The 53 biggest winners took $803; the 39 biggest losers gave up $640. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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