No won. Smart money backed Yes (9 ranked wallets, average entry 26¢) and lost. Volume $4.2k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 54% · No 46% | $58k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 6? | 30°C 100% · 31°C 0% | $22k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 6? | 12°C 49% · 11°C 29% · 13°C 16% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 6? | 72-73°F 47% · 70-71°F 28% · 68-69°F 13% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Moscow on November 6? | 2°C 96% · 3°C 5% · 4°C 1% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 6? | 6°C 22% · 3°C 8% · 7°C 1% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Miami on November 6? | 86-87°F 63% · 84-85°F 34% · 82-83°F 2% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x65f7… | No | $82.60 |
| blowdryer | No | $64.74 |
| MoneyForSky06 | No | $35.97 |
| LeroysAndDings | No | $29.16 |
| Thermomenal | No | $28.73 |
| krbrv | No | $26.32 |
| kerbrerv | No | $26.05 |
| Laury2 | No | $15.37 |
| televisionloud | Yes | $10.94 |
| 241532532432 | No | $10.77 |
| 0x3dd1… | No | $9.15 |
| 0xedbe… | No | $8.36 |
82 wallets held a position at the close. The 40 biggest winners took $436; the 42 biggest losers gave up $451. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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