No won. Smart money backed Yes (6 ranked wallets, average entry 2¢) and lost. Volume $1.3k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $58k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 7? | 19°C 49% · 20°C 41% · 21°C 7% | $18k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? | Yes 88% · No 12% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 7? | 28°C 49% · 29°C 28% · 27°C 23% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 7? | 11°C 43% · 10°C 38% · 9°C 10% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Houston on November 7? | 76-77°F 27% · 80-81°F 16% · 74-75°F 3% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Atlanta on November 7? | 66-67°F 59% · 68-69°F 25% · 64-65°F 16% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 7? | 20°C 55% · 19°C 44% · 18°C 3% | $10k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| ghorrock | No | $2.14 |
| StayFreshCheeseBags | No | $2.01 |
| 241532532432 | No | $1.32 |
| lbhd2 | No | $0.75 |
| cra1 | No | $0.69 |
| supermeow | No | $0.58 |
| ermi2026-1 | Yes | −$3.74 |
| meteophilia | Yes | −$2.85 |
| goshopping | Yes | −$2.14 |
| 0xef35… | Yes | −$0.86 |
10 wallets held a position at the close. The 6 biggest winners took $7; the 4 biggest losers gave up $10. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
Tech & Science's smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.