No won. Smart money backed Yes (15 ranked wallets, average entry 41¢) and lost. Volume $8.5k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $58k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $16k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? | Yes 89% · No 11% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 7? | 20°C 49% · 19°C 28% · 21°C 16% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 7? | 28°C 51% · 27°C 34% · 29°C 15% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Houston on November 7? | 78-79°F 44% · 76-77°F 37% · 80-81°F 13% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in NYC on November 7? | 60-61°F 46% · 62-63°F 38% · 64-65°F 9% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 7? | 20°C 56% · 19°C 41% · 18°C 5% | $10k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| quqqq | No | $773.48 |
| 241532532432 | No | $126.34 |
| OnlyLuckNoBrain | No | $64.11 |
| TakeYourTemperature | No | $32.93 |
| 0xbc3c… | No | $30.45 |
| 0xe28d… | No | $23.24 |
| ZhouYi-talk | No | $12.65 |
| StayFreshCheeseBags | No | $12.50 |
| HHR-TEST1 | No | $10.96 |
| 0x874d… | No | $10.40 |
| 0x567 | No | $10.20 |
| bhuumi | No | $10.19 |
118 wallets held a position at the close. The 49 biggest winners took $1.2k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $1.4k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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