No won. Smart money backed Yes (7 ranked wallets, average entry 2¢) and lost. Volume $3.1k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $58k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 7? | 20°C 47% · 19°C 33% · 21°C 16% | $15k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? | Yes 89% · No 11% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 7? | 28°C 52% · 27°C 34% · 29°C 15% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in NYC on November 7? | 60-61°F 44% · 62-63°F 42% · 64-65°F 8% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 7? | 20°C 54% · 19°C 35% · 18°C 7% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Houston on November 7? | 76-77°F 39% · 80-81°F 10% · 74-75°F 6% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 95monster | No | $11.48 |
| 0x3dd1… | No | $1.84 |
| MyRisk | No | $0.95 |
| Smallbet8 | Yes | $0.77 |
| blowdryer | No | $0.75 |
| 0x65f9… | No | $0.73 |
| god83743894 | No | $0.61 |
| 0xae6d… | No | $0.50 |
| lastminutebuyer | Yes | −$9.33 |
| Calimer0 | Yes | −$5.15 |
| ventyclob | Yes | −$3.78 |
| edgewarehouse | Yes | −$2.42 |
20 wallets held a position at the close. The 8 biggest winners took $18; the 12 biggest losers gave up $31. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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