Yes won. Smart money backed No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 56¢) and lost. Volume $13k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 2? | 31°C 46% · 30°C 42% · 29°C 7% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 2? | 82-83°F 37% · 80-81°F 24% · 84-85°F 23% | $12k |
| New pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Helsinki on November 2? | 8°C 52% · 9°C 42% · 10°C 4% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 2? | 11°C 58% · 12°C 27% · 13°C 2% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Beijing on November 2? | 18°C 44% · 19°C 25% · 17°C 19% | $9k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 2? | 7°C 51% · 8°C 41% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| dontknowhappen | Yes | $300.75 |
| 0x65f7… | Yes | $231.27 |
| qwerty555 | Yes | $201.94 |
| hello.67 | Yes | $167.17 |
| cvcvbvbvbMM | Yes | $156.41 |
| 0x2b73… | Yes | $147.00 |
| Wethcehck | Yes | $95.47 |
| lastminutebuyer | Yes | $79.10 |
| fregdf12f | Yes | $66.44 |
| MoneyForSky06 | Yes | $64.43 |
| AuspiciousWolf | Yes | $63.06 |
| andyjoy | Yes | $49.51 |
144 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.4k; the 46 biggest losers gave up $1.6k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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