Yes won. Smart money backed No (5 ranked wallets, average entry 13¢) and lost. Volume $2.6k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $58k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 7? | 20°C 47% · 19°C 33% · 21°C 16% | $15k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? | Yes 89% · No 11% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 7? | 28°C 52% · 27°C 34% · 29°C 15% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in NYC on November 7? | 60-61°F 44% · 62-63°F 42% · 64-65°F 8% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 7? | 20°C 54% · 19°C 35% · 18°C 7% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Houston on November 7? | 76-77°F 39% · 80-81°F 10% · 74-75°F 6% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x0700… | Yes | $49.68 |
| QuessTea007 | Yes | $20.76 |
| brightKong | Yes | $16.28 |
| BudgetDegen420 | Yes | $13.01 |
| sswlnl77 | Yes | $10.15 |
| ventyclob | Yes | $9.24 |
| Rantanplann | Yes | $9.10 |
| TheCircleMaker | Yes | $8.40 |
| 0x274a… | Yes | $7.98 |
| AppleCider22 | Yes | $7.35 |
| WeatherPeen69 | Yes | $6.15 |
| ZEEBRA-KY | Yes | $6.06 |
53 wallets held a position at the close. The 36 biggest winners took $224; the 17 biggest losers gave up $107. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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