No won. Smart money backed Yes (6 ranked wallets, average entry 22¢) and lost. Volume $9.2k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes 72% · No 28% | $67k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 3? | 28°C 60% · 29°C 25% · 27°C 18% | $15k |
| Highest temperature in Beijing on November 3? | 18°C 40% · 19°C 30% · 17°C 8% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 3? | 74-75°F 51% · 72-73°F 21% · 76-77°F 15% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 3? | 11°C 50% · 12°C 48% · 10°C 3% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on November 3? | 28°C 62% · 27°C 32% · 29°C 9% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 3? | 13°C 52% · 12°C 42% · 11°C 4% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Miami on November 3? | 84-85°F 68% · 86-87°F 22% · 82-83°F 11% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| rubby-always-wins | No | $75.83 |
| 241532532432 | No | $62.38 |
| Bassss83 | No | $57.33 |
| 0x65f7… | No | $43.82 |
| HellYeahTrader | No | $43.67 |
| cleaningLady | No | $40.13 |
| OutOfMemory | No | $30.50 |
| 0xyahn | No | $28.53 |
| windyboy | No | $21.49 |
| fregdf12f | No | $19.09 |
| god83743894 | No | $12.34 |
| haveagoodday | No | $9 |
99 wallets held a position at the close. The 50 biggest winners took $549; the 49 biggest losers gave up $775. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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