No won. Smart money backed Yes (11 ranked wallets, average entry 39¢) and lost. Volume $12k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 4? | 18°C 96% · 19°C 4% · 17°C 1% | $25k |
| Highest temperature in Lucknow on November 4? | 30°C 51% · 31°C 49% · 32°C 1% | $13k |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on November 4? | Yes 37% · No 63% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 4? | 28°C 50% · 27°C 34% · 29°C 13% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on November 4? | 28°C 59% · 27°C 37% · 26°C 3% | $11k |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? | Yes 0% · No 100% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on November 4? | 17°C 51% · 18°C 41% · 16°C 7% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 4? | 10°C 60% · 9°C 18% · 11°C 17% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xeb1b… | No | $239.93 |
| edgewarehouse | No | $73.51 |
| fregdf12f | No | $56.26 |
| 0xedbe… | No | $47.61 |
| 0x31b1… | No | $47.37 |
| 0xe28d… | No | $30.46 |
| 95monster | No | $26.34 |
| 0xde0a… | No | $25.96 |
| 0xSPBB | No | $20.70 |
| elelondelagente | No | $14.17 |
| awawfawfa4af4 | No | $13.81 |
| TakeYourTemperature | No | $9.00 |
134 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $753; the 60 biggest losers gave up $1.1k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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