Yes won. Smart money backed No (6 ranked wallets, average entry 83¢) and lost. Volume $6.7k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $58k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 7? | 20°C 55% · 19°C 28% · 21°C 16% | $17k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 7? | 28°C 45% · 29°C 29% · 27°C 23% | $13k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? | Yes 88% · No 12% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Houston on November 7? | 76-77°F 27% · 80-81°F 10% · 74-75°F 3% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 7? | 10°C 35% · 12°C 14% · 9°C 10% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in NYC on November 7? | 60-61°F 59% · 62-63°F 32% · 64-65°F 8% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 7? | 20°C 62% · 19°C 39% · 18°C 5% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| DogFacedPonyMarket | Yes | $364.01 |
| Egvv | Yes | $285.85 |
| writtensmoke | Yes | $233.94 |
| JimBobMagoo | Yes | $97.54 |
| fastestclick | Yes | $66.38 |
| ForeverAlone69 | Yes | $54.25 |
| ColdFrontCapital | Yes | $33.52 |
| piazzeus | Yes | $29.15 |
| WinStable | Yes | $22.90 |
| qqq-123 | Yes | $19.69 |
| Polweatherfi | Yes | $19.55 |
| AllTheWhimsy | Yes | $18.29 |
68 wallets held a position at the close. The 40 biggest winners took $1.4k; the 28 biggest losers gave up $672. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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