No won. Smart money backed Yes (8 ranked wallets, average entry 23¢) and lost. Volume $7.8k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 53% · No 47% | $58k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 6? | 72-73°F 43% · 70-71°F 40% · 68-69°F 11% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 6? | 3°C 19% · 6°C 9% · 7°C 1% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Moscow on November 6? | 2°C 99% · 3°C 1% · 4°C 0% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 6? | 12°C 67% · 13°C 32% · 11°C 14% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Miami on November 6? | 86-87°F 63% · 84-85°F 33% · 82-83°F 2% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 7? | 28°C 44% · 27°C 32% · 29°C 13% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 241532532432 | No | $38.29 |
| dumdumdumdum | No | $28.98 |
| Certified-Loser | Yes | $24.27 |
| fildoro | No | $24.15 |
| supermeow | No | $20.43 |
| dp. | Yes | $15.28 |
| 0xeb1b… | No | $15.08 |
| wallingj13 | No | $10.17 |
| dami-1 | No | $9.54 |
| dub2-CF | No | $9.51 |
| yellowhp | No | $8.56 |
| 0xe28d… | No | $8.20 |
105 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $349; the 29 biggest losers gave up $439. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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