Talent Gaming won. Smart money backed Kuaishou Gaming (4 ranked wallets, average entry 30¢) and lost. Volume $3.4k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 65% · No change 32% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.3M |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 34% · Marco Rubio 21% · Joe Kent 1% | $895k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · James Talarico 2% · Wes Moore 1% | $894k |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · James Talarico 4% · Mark Cuban 0% | $782k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $403k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $401k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 16% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13% · Dominique de Villepin 2% | $362k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 50% · No 50% | $352k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| king-c | Talent Gaming | $77.23 |
| 0x99b1… | Talent Gaming | $36.10 |
| 0x0e0b… | Talent Gaming | $19.56 |
| hffhjzdg | Talent Gaming | $14.38 |
| b00k13 | Talent Gaming | $11.12 |
| 0xfe77… | Talent Gaming | $8.15 |
| 0x6d67… | Talent Gaming | $8.08 |
| Mariothu | Talent Gaming | $5.86 |
| beef13 | Talent Gaming | $5.58 |
| ShadowKang | Talent Gaming | $4.07 |
| muyizhi | Talent Gaming | $3 |
| jwocky | Talent Gaming | $1.85 |
30 wallets held a position at the close. The 16 biggest winners took $201; the 14 biggest losers gave up $105. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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