Talent Gaming won. Smart money backed Wolves (7 ranked wallets, average entry 61¢) and lost. Volume $13k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Brian Kemp 1% · Joe Kent 1% | $3.5M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Josh Shapiro 5% · James Talarico 4% | $2.1M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.6M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.3M |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $749k |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) | Grizzlies 38% · Pacers 63% | $718k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% · James Talarico 1% | $653k |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies | Pacers 34% · Grizzlies 66% | $591k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| hffhjzdg | Talent Gaming | $770.06 |
| ddp0618 | Talent Gaming | $363.32 |
| king-c | Talent Gaming | $195.34 |
| 0x173e… | Talent Gaming | $117.62 |
| Jackallin | Talent Gaming | $100.81 |
| W9iq27 | Talent Gaming | $81.93 |
| 0xTK | Talent Gaming | $79.97 |
| zhouxx | Talent Gaming | $75 |
| aikun69 | Talent Gaming | $61.28 |
| Thankyouman | Talent Gaming | $55.19 |
| 0x583a… | Talent Gaming | $54.91 |
| SUPERNIUBI | Talent Gaming | $47.00 |
113 wallets held a position at the close. The 55 biggest winners took $2.6k; the 58 biggest losers gave up $2.0k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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