No 96% · Yes 5%. Smart money leans No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 82¢). Volume $3.6k, liquidity $524. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $598k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $278k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $249k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 93% · No 7% | $195k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 22% · No 79% | $180k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $158k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $156k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $149k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| pookyisback | Yes | 448 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 426 |
| Johnny-Worker | Yes | 200 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 72 |
| richyee | Yes | 51 |
| 0x754a…b73b | Yes | 23 |
| Konfucious | Yes | 22 |
| 123987456 | Yes | 20 |
| a5533 | Yes | 20 |
| batriq | Yes | 15 |
| Udonsan | No | 760 |
| Askeladd. | No | 224 |
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