Yes won. Smart money backed No (4 ranked wallets, average entry 17¢) and lost. Volume $1.6k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Joe Kent 2% · Donald Trump 1% | $1.6M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.5M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · James Talarico 4% · Michelle Obama 1% | $1.4M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 1% | $1.2M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $870k |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Zeynep Sonmez | Mika Stojsavljevic 2% · Zeynep Sonmez 98% | $648k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $539k |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $333k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| LeechLord | Yes | $73.37 |
| leurop0 | Yes | $22.15 |
| brra | Yes | $14.37 |
| rubby1337 | Yes | $7.86 |
| Carabao | Yes | $3.80 |
| annont | Yes | $1.80 |
| galhammerman | No | −$14.77 |
| financegaaaydog | No | −$9.38 |
| Carabao | No | −$7.89 |
| tradetosurvive1 | No | −$6.20 |
| 0x28a6… | No | −$6 |
| qqqppp-l1 | No | −$2.83 |
12 wallets held a position at the close. The 6 biggest winners took $123; the 6 biggest losers gave up $47. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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