No 76% · Yes 24%. Smart money leans No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 73¢). Volume $76k, liquidity $21k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $303k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 18% · No 83% | $264k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 5% · No 96% | $239k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $235k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 40% · No 60% | $226k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 26% · No 75% | $206k |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes 47% · No 54% | $118k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 6% · No 94% | $104k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| juewei | Yes | 33k |
| Etay0044 | Yes | 3k |
| Myway | Yes | 2k |
| PantheraUncia | Yes | 2k |
| Dz10 | Yes | 2k |
| 0x1c5d…63ed | Yes | 1k |
| Ita10 | Yes | 1k |
| 0x6d21…d15e | Yes | 1k |
| KakiBatusik | Yes | 835 |
| BoldBeardedBear | Yes | 815 |
| taidi | No | 10k |
| chabeiquan | No | 10k |
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