Who is the smart money on “Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?”?

Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 17¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?

No 95% · Yes 6%. Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 17¢). Volume $26k, liquidity $13k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗

No
95%
Yes
6%
Volume
$26k
Liquidity
$13k

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

2 wallets · 2,053 known shares

GrapeFlavoredDrinkMix
entry — · P&L -$2.2k · win 33%
ADIAKwhale
entry 17¢ · P&L $56k · win 25%

No

3 wallets · 572 known shares

ToTheWindow
entry 83¢ · P&L $35k · win 55%
ddd1d43
entry 85¢ · P&L $536 · win 44%
0x8f69…2923
entry — · P&L -$11k · win 45%

More Geopolitics markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?” on Polymarket?: No 95% · Yes 6%, on $26k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?”?: Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 17¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?

live

Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

5.5%

Yes

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Title	Outcomes	Volume24h	Liquidity
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?	Benjamin Netanyahu 51% · Gadi Eizenkot 31% · Naftali Bennett 6%	$14.5M	$1.4M
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes 95% · No 6%	$292k	$172k
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes 98% · No 2%	$156k	$98k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes 95% · No 6%	$141k	$165k
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes 90% · No 11%	$140k	$51k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes 100% · No 0%	$120k	$46k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes 19% · No 82%	$77k	$304k
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?	Yes 66% · No 34%	$77k	$33k

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction