Yes won. Volume $3.5k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 17% · No 84% | $485k |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | Yes 98% · No 2% | $229k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $172k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? | Yes 97% · No 3% | $156k |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | Yes 77% · No 24% | $142k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $141k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 41% · No 59% | $140k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 14% · No 87% | $120k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| ToTheWindow | Yes | $24.75 |
| songbird123 | Yes | $9.20 |
| 0x2612… | Yes | $7.32 |
| deuxgaules | Yes | $4.18 |
| Johnnycashpot | Yes | $4.06 |
| D222222222 | Yes | $3.60 |
| Poory | Yes | $2.52 |
| usernameisrandomorlong | Yes | $1.17 |
| etghzcer | Yes | $1.12 |
| hjhjhjhjhjhjhj | No | $0.66 |
| Askeladd. | No | −$68.79 |
| TREC2 | No | −$20 |
18 wallets held a position at the close. The 10 biggest winners took $59; the 8 biggest losers gave up $116. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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