What are the odds for “Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?” on Polymarket?

No 92% · Yes 8%, on $77k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?

No 92% · Yes 8%. Volume $77k, liquidity $17k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗

No
92%
Yes
8%
Volume
$77k
Liquidity
$17k

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

4 wallets · 1,519 known shares

0x8f69…2923
entry — · P&L -$11k · win 45%
Robbbwhale
entry — · P&L $83k · win 79%
yuhyuhyuhy352352whale
entry 64¢ · P&L $319k · win 42%
UniLB
entry — · P&L -$582 · win 11%

No

2 wallets · 664 known shares

M2sx92kljs42whale
entry — · P&L $63k · win 72%

More Geopolitics markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?” on Polymarket?: No 92% · Yes 8%, on $77k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?

live

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

Yes

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Title	Outcomes	Volume24h	Liquidity	Change24h
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes 96% · No 5%	$290k	$138k	1%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes 97% · No 3%	$247k	$224k	3.5%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes 99% · No 1%	$157k	$61k	2%
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes 91% · No 9%	$109k	$61k	0.5%
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?	Yes 66% · No 34%	$82k	$31k	0.4%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes 19% · No 82%	$81k	$309k	1%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?	Yes 36% · No 65%	$79k	$74k	1%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes 52% · No 49%	$58k	$72k	-2.5%

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction