Lorenzo Claverie won. Smart money backed Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros (2 ranked wallets, average entry 47¢) and lost. Volume $42k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 66% · No change 34% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $2.4M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 4% | $1.0M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% | $933k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 38% · Marco Rubio 20% · Ron DeSantis 13% | $637k |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs | PARIVISION 30% · Natus Vincere 71% | $534k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 54% · Bilibili Gaming 25% · T1 17% | $483k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 44% · No 56% | $288k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $240k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| CandleHammerDrums | Lorenzo Claverie | $2k |
| 0x7462… | Lorenzo Claverie | $475.94 |
| DM134 | Lorenzo Claverie | $211.11 |
| eFMBS | Lorenzo Claverie | $37.74 |
| 0xaeb9… | Lorenzo Claverie | $32.50 |
| 38791873984189 | Lorenzo Claverie | $25.38 |
| Ambul1 | Lorenzo Claverie | $25.32 |
| hneychee | Lorenzo Claverie | $16.88 |
| 0ooo0o0o0oo0o0 | Lorenzo Claverie | $14.64 |
| pengu-n | Lorenzo Claverie | $13.60 |
| Ludludlud1 | Lorenzo Claverie | $13.15 |
| 0x6711… | Lorenzo Claverie | $6.65 |
42 wallets held a position at the close. The 21 biggest winners took $3.0k; the 21 biggest losers gave up $11k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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