Noemi Basiletti won. Smart money backed Anna-Lena Friedsam (2 ranked wallets, average entry 43¢) and lost. Volume $4.7k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Joe Kent 2% · Donald Trump 1% | $1.6M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.5M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · James Talarico 4% · Michelle Obama 1% | $1.4M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 1% | $1.1M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 77% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $869k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $535k |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Zeynep Sonmez | Mika Stojsavljevic 23% · Zeynep Sonmez 78% | $535k |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $338k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| babuinbob | Noemi Basiletti | $53.56 |
| 0xadbf… | Noemi Basiletti | $27.43 |
| s3mXdisl38sm7shKskwM | Noemi Basiletti | $11.80 |
| phallusse | Noemi Basiletti | $11.55 |
| zoroelnino | Noemi Basiletti | $10.47 |
| noclevername | Noemi Basiletti | $7.67 |
| 0x6027… | Noemi Basiletti | $7.07 |
| User7429 | Noemi Basiletti | $5.14 |
| gefficek | Noemi Basiletti | $4.54 |
| pcjones | Noemi Basiletti | $4.53 |
| 0x1fe8… | Noemi Basiletti | $4.45 |
| 0xb937… | Noemi Basiletti | $4.25 |
30 wallets held a position at the close. The 14 biggest winners took $157; the 16 biggest losers gave up $266. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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