Xirui Han won. Smart money backed Qian Sun (4 ranked wallets, average entry 52¢) and lost. Volume $16k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Joe Kent 2% · Donald Trump 1% | $1.6M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · James Talarico 4% · Michelle Obama 1% | $1.4M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 2% | $1.1M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $853k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys | Tommy Paul 85% · Quentin Halys 15% | $583k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $544k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $426k |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $329k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x2c33… | Xirui Han | $3k |
| smithagent | Xirui Han | $2k |
| M2710 | Xirui Han | $466.57 |
| CandleHammerDrums | Xirui Han | $222 |
| 0x4738… | Xirui Han | $127.20 |
| 0x7920… | Xirui Han | $23.46 |
| 0xb595… | Xirui Han | $14.55 |
| 0x6318… | Xirui Han | $10.81 |
| 0x3983… | Xirui Han | $9.69 |
| 0xa789… | Xirui Han | $9.48 |
| 0xdef1… | Xirui Han | $9.34 |
| ARTEM-DZYUBA | Xirui Han | $5.31 |
23 wallets held a position at the close. The 15 biggest winners took $6.1k; the 8 biggest losers gave up $7.1k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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