Henry Lieberman won. Smart money backed Liam Krall (2 ranked wallets, average entry 58¢) and lost. Volume $536. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 79% · No change 21% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.8M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Abdul El-Sayed 1% | $1.5M |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 70% · Puma Shen 31% | $440k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 20% · Glenn Youngkin 0% · Nikki Haley 0% | $431k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 54% · Bilibili Gaming 25% · T1 17% | $422k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz | Taylor Fritz 26% · Carlos Alcaraz 74% | $381k |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Karmine Corp 18% · T1 83% | $381k |
| Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5) | T1 35% · Karmine Corp 66% | $374k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xbfd7… | Henry Lieberman | $54.11 |
| Venusian | Henry Lieberman | $31.42 |
| eFMBS | Henry Lieberman | $26.17 |
| PrematchValue | Henry Lieberman | $19.99 |
| sc1pt0x | Henry Lieberman | $10.67 |
| AntiVaxxer | Henry Lieberman | $6.38 |
| castorcurse | Henry Lieberman | $5.60 |
| 0xd2a1… | Henry Lieberman | $2.65 |
| ARTEM-DZYUBA | Henry Lieberman | $0.55 |
| 0xbfd7… | Liam Krall | −$61.87 |
| lin001 | Liam Krall | −$58.43 |
| faringeyt | Liam Krall | −$35.01 |
16 wallets held a position at the close. The 9 biggest winners took $158; the 7 biggest losers gave up $207. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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