Dana Guzman won. Smart money backed Ashley Lahey (3 ranked wallets, average entry 21¢) and lost. Volume $611. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 26% · IA, KS 12% · IA 10% | $3.8M |
| Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC | Arsenal FC 61% · Draw (Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC) 26% · Liverpool FC 13% | $1.6M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.5M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $1.5M |
| Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | Over 47% · Under 54% | $1.3M |
| Browns vs. Steelers | Browns 35% · Steelers 66% | $881k |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) | Steelers 51% · Browns 50% | $827k |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 30% | $636k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xc07 | Dana Guzman | $25.23 |
| ET65 | Dana Guzman | $11.31 |
| ALPHYN | Dana Guzman | $6.23 |
| HRTrading | Dana Guzman | $2.50 |
| pengu1n | Dana Guzman | $2.30 |
| AntiVaxxer | Dana Guzman | $1.44 |
| kal3ido | Dana Guzman | $1.10 |
| azunavoice | Ashley Lahey | −$26.20 |
| 0xc07 | Ashley Lahey | −$18.40 |
| 0x6318… | Ashley Lahey | −$10.00 |
| ashfaqdb | Ashley Lahey | −$4.00 |
| noclevername | Ashley Lahey | −$1.65 |
15 wallets held a position at the close. The 7 biggest winners took $50; the 8 biggest losers gave up $63. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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