Eva Lopez won. Smart money backed Ya Yi Yang (10 ranked wallets, average entry 66¢) and lost. Volume $11k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Brian Kemp 1% · Donald Trump 1% | $3.7M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Josh Shapiro 5% · Andy Beshear 3% | $2.1M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.6M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.3M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% · James Talarico 2% | $869k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $766k |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns | Trail Blazers 79% · Suns 21% | $430k |
| Next French Presidential Election | Marine Le Pen 41% · David Lisnard 16% · Christine Lagarde 7% | $413k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| JourneyPM | Eva Lopez | $4k |
| 0xb595… | Eva Lopez | $22.23 |
| 0x9be8… | Eva Lopez | $8.50 |
| Kulborg | Eva Lopez | $6.63 |
| fcdd | Eva Lopez | $1.31 |
| bigonze | Ya Yi Yang | −$1k |
| vitloh | Ya Yi Yang | −$151.84 |
| jserver370 | Ya Yi Yang | −$149.90 |
| T4RT4RIN | Ya Yi Yang | −$79.74 |
| 0xe37f… | Ya Yi Yang | −$63.44 |
| 0ooo0o0o0oo0o0 | Ya Yi Yang | −$29.86 |
| 1MillionInc-v1 | Ya Yi Yang | −$28.26 |
41 wallets held a position at the close. The 5 biggest winners took $3.6k; the 36 biggest losers gave up $2.3k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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