Beatris Spasova won. Smart money backed Polina Maneshina (3 ranked wallets, average entry 5¢) and lost. Volume $3.8k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 68% · No change 31% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.8M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 19% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% | $1.2M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18% · Kamala Harris 5% | $1.1M |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 35% · Marco Rubio 21% · Joe Kent 1% | $696k |
| FC Midtjylland vs. AFC Ajax | AFC Ajax 45% · FC Midtjylland 33% | $455k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $430k |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05? | Yes 61% · No 39% | $420k |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Dplus KIA 41% · Bilibili Gaming 59% | $399k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| VTL777 | Beatris Spasova | $131.24 |
| bigonze | Beatris Spasova | $94.90 |
| 0x58f1… | Beatris Spasova | $2.92 |
| 0xa177… | Beatris Spasova | $2.60 |
| 0xakwz | Beatris Spasova | $2 |
| 0xc07 | Beatris Spasova | $1.28 |
| 0x9f16… | Polina Maneshina | $0.52 |
| CandleHammerDrums | Polina Maneshina | −$37.36 |
| alpheclabs2 | Polina Maneshina | −$6.84 |
| Ynkn | Polina Maneshina | −$2.52 |
| 0x6b25… | Polina Maneshina | −$2.25 |
| phallusse | Polina Maneshina | −$2.06 |
13 wallets held a position at the close. The 7 biggest winners took $235; the 6 biggest losers gave up $52. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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