William Mirarchi won. Volume $580. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 66% · No change 31% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.8M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 19% · Kamala Harris 4% | $1.2M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 19% · Kamala Harris 5% | $1.1M |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 35% · Marco Rubio 22% · Joe Kent 1% | $714k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche | Lorenzo Musetti 64% · Luca Van Assche 36% | $538k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $399k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $370k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 50% · No 51% | $360k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| arbtemis | William Mirarchi | $20.55 |
| eFMBS | William Mirarchi | $17.26 |
| VlokaFiel | William Mirarchi | $3.15 |
| tomorrowillbebetter | William Mirarchi | $2.97 |
| clownly | Dylan Jaen | −$66.39 |
| 0xbfd7… | Dylan Jaen | −$13.86 |
| kuprre | Dylan Jaen | −$7 |
| 0xc7d5… | Dylan Jaen | −$3.80 |
| MadridTime | Dylan Jaen | −$1.35 |
9 wallets held a position at the close. The 4 biggest winners took $44; the 5 biggest losers gave up $92. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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