Iliyan Radulov won. Smart money backed Bruno Pujol Navarro (3 ranked wallets, average entry 22¢) and lost. Volume $2.1k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 66% · No change 33% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $2.1M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 4% | $1.1M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 19% · Kamala Harris 3% | $1.0M |
| Jaguars vs. Ravens | Jaguars 79% · Ravens 21% | $809k |
| Magic vs. Suns | Magic 48% · Suns 52% | $631k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 38% · Marco Rubio 20% · Pete Hegseth 0% | $605k |
| Spread: Warriors (-6.5) | Warriors 41% · Heat 59% | $569k |
| Blues vs. Devils | Blues 20% · Devils 80% | $545k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| ds.skat | Iliyan Radulov | $40.25 |
| eFMBS | Iliyan Radulov | $21.04 |
| Lopestheve | Iliyan Radulov | $4.62 |
| 0x6f6a… | Iliyan Radulov | $4.50 |
| v4test | Iliyan Radulov | $2.01 |
| BulochkaLove | Iliyan Radulov | $1.10 |
| LuckyLoo | Bruno Pujol Navarro | −$21.04 |
| 0x3983… | Bruno Pujol Navarro | −$19.67 |
| 0x6221… | Bruno Pujol Navarro | −$19.38 |
| 0xa789… | Bruno Pujol Navarro | −$19.24 |
| 0xedce… | Bruno Pujol Navarro | −$19.24 |
| ashfaqdb | Bruno Pujol Navarro | −$3.83 |
14 wallets held a position at the close. The 6 biggest winners took $74; the 8 biggest losers gave up $107. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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