Alina Shcherbinina won. Smart money backed Salakthip Ounmuang (3 ranked wallets, average entry 27¢) and lost. Volume $3.6k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Marco Rubio 19% · Brian Kemp 1% · Byron Donalds 1% | $1.9M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 24% · Josh Shapiro 5% · James Talarico 3% | $1.4M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 77% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.1M |
| Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club | Draw (Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club) 94% · Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club 6% | $604k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · JD Vance 17% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 14% | $588k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 17% · No 84% | $515k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 15% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13% · Christine Lagarde 8% | $504k |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF | Real Madrid CF 81% · AEK 8% | $414k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| glennyorkshire | Alina Shcherbinina | $161.53 |
| 0xc07 | Alina Shcherbinina | $52.92 |
| alpheclabs2 | Alina Shcherbinina | $50.00 |
| CandleHammerDrums | Alina Shcherbinina | $42.73 |
| ALPHYN | Alina Shcherbinina | $12.82 |
| zoroelnino | Alina Shcherbinina | $9.22 |
| 0x6b25… | Alina Shcherbinina | $6.90 |
| RzUSr | Salakthip Ounmuang | −$292.10 |
| 0xc07 | Salakthip Ounmuang | −$32.68 |
| sehwtiace | Salakthip Ounmuang | −$18.75 |
| 0x6318… | Salakthip Ounmuang | −$10.00 |
| xutuu | Salakthip Ounmuang | −$9.79 |
17 wallets held a position at the close. The 7 biggest winners took $336; the 10 biggest losers gave up $385. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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