Bella Payne won. Smart money backed Lily Taylor (4 ranked wallets, average entry 56¢) and lost. Volume $2.0k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Brian Kemp 1% · Joe Kent 1% | $3.5M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Josh Shapiro 5% · James Talarico 4% | $2.1M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.6M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.3M |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $749k |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) | Grizzlies 51% · Pacers 49% | $718k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% · James Talarico 1% | $653k |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies | Pacers 27% · Grizzlies 74% | $591k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xc07 | Bella Payne | $92.78 |
| Irina1972 | Bella Payne | $80.48 |
| RobinBobi | Bella Payne | $44.10 |
| jserver370 | Bella Payne | $43.53 |
| suspector | Bella Payne | $29.45 |
| BraveGal3x | Bella Payne | $24.55 |
| rolz94 | Bella Payne | $24.02 |
| akirra | Bella Payne | $20.45 |
| koroskenyi | Bella Payne | $19.64 |
| dentleightadman | Bella Payne | $8.42 |
| minasmaker | Bella Payne | $6.80 |
| sandpiper | Bella Payne | $5.06 |
32 wallets held a position at the close. The 18 biggest winners took $414; the 14 biggest losers gave up $486. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
The smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.